Big changes have taken effect in 2010 for people who want to convert Traditional IRAs to Roth IRAs. Effective January 1, 2010, you can:

· Convert regardless of your income or tax-filing status

· Postpone the tax due on the conversion by splitting the taxable income evenly in 2011 and 2012 (2010 conversions only)

The following includes answers to several questions about Roth IRAs and Roth IRA conversions. Please consult your Willow Creek financial advisor or your tax professional to see if a Roth conversion might make sense for you.

Download the PDF

A TRIFECTA OF TRUTH TO START THE NEW DECADE
It’s not just the end of a year, but the end of a decade so it’s a particularly appropriate time to consider where we are, where we’re going, and what we’ve learned.

If they’ve done nothing else, the last ten years have proven that investing is hard. Perhaps more importantly, we’ve seen once again that discipline trumps inspiration when it comes to investing. Jason Zweig's The Wall Street Journal column,The Intelligent Investor, from January 9th provides thoughtful commentary regarding index investing and we loved their quote taken from Professor Meir Statman of the Santa Clara University: “the market may be crazy, but that doesn’t make you a psychiatrist.”

Forbes.com’s Richard Ferri offered a more positive look back on the past decade in his piece entitled A Decent Decade for Index Investors published last week. Ferri reviewed the decade in the context of a modern, allocated portfolio and concludes “a diversified and disciplined index investor weathered the past decade just fine.”

The news for the non-indexer out there is not so rosy. Dalbar, Inc. recently issued its updated Summary of Investment Returns. We look for this report every year and found little change. For the 20 year period 1989-2008 the S&P 500 grew at a compounded annual rate of 8.35%; US CPI Inflation rose 2.89% during that period. And the average investor in US Equity mutual funds? Returns averaged only 1.87%. As we say, investing is hard.
Go here http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Inefficient-Markets-Are-Still-wallstreet-4288166434.html?x=0&.v=4 to see the WSJ article.
Go here http://www.forbes.com/2010/01/05/stocks-bonds-not-bad-decade-personal-finance-indexer-ferri.html to see the Forbes.com article.

Paul Samuelson, one of the foremost academic economists of the 20th century, has died at age 94. He proposed the monetary policy that suggested a temporary reduction in individual tax rates is a powerful weapon against recession. Kennedy put the idea into practice and set in motion the great boom of the 1960s.

He felt that if too great a portion of the nation's income passes through the government, it becomes inefficient and unresponsive to human needs and risks infringing on freedoms. However, Samuelson also believed that government must do what it can to avert an economic crisis. The harshness of the market has to be tempered, he said, urging that layoffs and government downsizing "must be done with a heart".

Interestingly, current White House economic adviser, Lawrence Summers, is his nephew.

Below is a link featuring Samuelson and four other Nobel Prize winners. It is a brief history of their theories and experiences that culminate in a host of insights for today's investors.
http://www.dfaus.com/library/videos/nobel_thinkers_tpi/

According to the College Board*, tuition at four-year public colleges rose 6.5% this year while private colleges raised tuition 4.4%. So we thought a follow-up on Lynn O’Shaughnessy’s book “The College Solution” was in order.

Here are some of Lynn’s late-stage college strategies:

· Don’t believe the sticker price – public universities are discounting 15% and private schools 33.5% says the College Board
· Discounts do go to affluent families – you just have to know which schools will reward which kind of students
· Financial aid varies dramatically – some schools are generous on needs-based aid, some are not
· There are great online resources – 
     a. College Navigator (nces.edgov/COLLEGENAVIGATOR/): type in the name of the school to access a wealth of information 
     b. Common Data Set is posted on each school’s Website and has a Financial Aid section
· Get the best deal – select schools where the student is in the top 25% of grades & test scores (find stats on the Common Data Set)
· Test Score issues – a number of schools have test-optional policies (go to Fair/Test.org for the list of schools)

*The College Board is a not-for-profit membership association whose mission is to connect students to college success and opportunity. Founded in 1900, among its best-known programs are the SAT®, the PSAT/NMSQT® and the Advanced Placement Program® (AP®). The College Board is committed to the principles of excellence and equity, and that commitment is embodied in all of its programs, services, activities and concerns.

Who’s the smartest of them all? We currently see ads and junk mail pieces from money managers saying they are the greatest because they sold out before the crash or bought (emerging markets, junk bonds etc.) just at the right time. Truth be told, facts are facts and though there are some really smart money managers out there, most are really smart at marketing, not investing money.

As a long-time advocate of passive rather than active management investment strategies we find it helpful to share with potential investors looking for the “next hot thing” how active mutual fund managers have actually performed in recent years. It is no surprise to us that actively managed stock and bond funds have shown a significant rate of non-survival over the past five years (though private equity and hedge funds have melted even faster than these mutual fund managers). Among the survivors, only a few have consistently outperformed their category benchmark.

Slide 1: During the past five years, the US stock market has experienced several years of moderate gains and one year of extreme underperformance (2008). As shown in this graph, 28.5% of the actively managed US equity universe (1,043 funds) disappeared during the five-year period through 2008. Most of this non-survival occurred in years when the market delivered positive returns.

Slide 2: Although 71% of actively managed US equity funds survived the five-year period, most funds did not outperform their category benchmark. This graph shows the percentage of funds in the surviving universe that beat their benchmark in consecutive years. In the first year (2004), 33.2% of the funds were winners, but by year five (2008), only 1.4% of the funds (38 out of 2,619 survivors) had consistently outperformed their benchmark.

Slide 3: Like active managers in the equity universe, bond fund managers have a significant rate of non-survival and underperformance as well. As shown in this graph, of the funds operating at the beginning of 2004, about 27% of the actively managed bond universe (458 funds) disappeared during the five-year period through 2008.

Slide 4: Fund survival again does not imply success. Although 73% of actively managed funds survived the 2004-2008 period, most did not outperform their fund category benchmark. This graph shows the percentage of bond funds in the surviving universe that beat their benchmark in consecutive years. In 2004, over 41% of the funds outperformed their respective category benchmark. By year five (2008), however, only 0.5% of the funds (7 out of the initial 1,670) had outperformed in all five years.